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it showed barack obama as a commander in chief. the gallup poll was knocked off. it was his best poll. it showed the two competing businesses. not only did you have chris christie out there, but you also have bob mcdonnell of west virginia, another republican surrogate, who said the obama administration's response has been incredibly fast. >> i wouldn't go that far. they came in separately and they left separately. but sometimes governors have to do what governors do and presidents have to do what presidents do. i get that. and i think for the moment, your man probably got some. john, i want to ask you, i've been reading in the newspapers -- you correct me if i'm wrong. your superpack and other republican super packs have put $4 million into pennsylvania. team obama, only $625,000. for $4 million, jonathan, you want a rate of return better than a utility executive. you want to actually win the race in that state. >> we wouldn't be spending the money if we didn't think that there were real opportunities in michigan, pennsylvania, and minnesota, as well as wisconsin
it showed barack obama as a commander in chief. the gallup poll was knocked off. it was his best poll. it showed the two competing businesses. not only did you have chris christie out there, but you also have bob mcdonnell of west virginia, another republican surrogate, who said the obama administration's response has been incredibly fast. >> i wouldn't go that far. they came in separately and they left separately. but sometimes governors have to do what governors do and presidents have...
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it's the obama camp that's really got to get to people, get them to the polls. this will make it a little bit hardener places like virginia. for the most part, he doesn't have any trouble winning new york. >> it's a great point about turnout. we'll keep an eye on all of the states. ben white from politico. >>> what will volumes look like? we'll discuss that when we come back. busy in here. yeah. progressive mobile is... [ "everybody have fun tonight" plays ] really catching on! people can do it all! get a quote, buy and manage your policy! -[ music stops ] -it's great! well, what's with the... -[ music resumes ] -music? ♪ have fun tonight dude. getting a car insurance quote. i'll let it go to voicemail. [ clears throat ] ♪ everybody wang chung tonight ♪ putting it on vibrate. [ cell phone vibrates ] -[ loud vibrating ] -it'll pass. [ vibrating continues ] our giant store and your little phone. that's progressive mobile. >>> many consumers are forced to revisit their shopping budget following the storm. joining us is scott bernard, thanks very much indeed f
it's the obama camp that's really got to get to people, get them to the polls. this will make it a little bit hardener places like virginia. for the most part, he doesn't have any trouble winning new york. >> it's a great point about turnout. we'll keep an eye on all of the states. ben white from politico. >>> what will volumes look like? we'll discuss that when we come back. busy in here. yeah. progressive mobile is... [ "everybody have fun tonight" plays ] really...
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where the average poll has obama up by 2, 2 1/2, 3 points in ohio. you go back through history, how candidates overcome leads like, that it's actually pretty hard. a small lead, but when you have so few undecided voters left, a third of the state already voted and turned out, it's pretty challenging right now and that's romney's biggest hurdle, entirely ohio. >> you've been described as a potential one-term celebrity pollster. how did you react? you are a bit of a rising superstar. but of course if you get it wrong you've got obama 75% chance of winning. if he was to lose now, lu resign? what happens to pollster experts like you? >> well, this is why we give probabilities. earlier this week there was a weather forecast lower said there was a 30% chance that hurricane sandy would be bad enough to flood the new york subway system. now, to me that seems look a very prescient prediction where he warned people days in advance there was a chance of this occurring. we give mitt romney a 38% chance of becoming president as new york this week. . a 30% chance
where the average poll has obama up by 2, 2 1/2, 3 points in ohio. you go back through history, how candidates overcome leads like, that it's actually pretty hard. a small lead, but when you have so few undecided voters left, a third of the state already voted and turned out, it's pretty challenging right now and that's romney's biggest hurdle, entirely ohio. >> you've been described as a potential one-term celebrity pollster. how did you react? you are a bit of a rising superstar. but of...
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in fact i saw a poll right before the storm that had a tie there. i'll tell you what's key, erin, to look at now just a few days left and that is barack obama has not broken 50%. he's down in the 47%, 48%, has been for what the better part of two months now. he can't break that number whether it's ohio or florida or virginia, colorado, and on election day there's a couple things that are going to matter. if you're undecided, those undecides will break for the challengers, that's what's historically known, that's four years they'd already know if they'd be with the president or not. they'll break with the challengers, in addition it's your ground game. we have an amazing ground game, we're going to have our votes out there, the intensity is with us. all the fundamentals of this campaign are with mitt romney and that's because he's the best candidate out there with a great, great deal to offer the american voters. >> thank you very much. we appreciate your time, and next as much as the nation focuses on sandy, the candidates are increasing that focus
in fact i saw a poll right before the storm that had a tie there. i'll tell you what's key, erin, to look at now just a few days left and that is barack obama has not broken 50%. he's down in the 47%, 48%, has been for what the better part of two months now. he can't break that number whether it's ohio or florida or virginia, colorado, and on election day there's a couple things that are going to matter. if you're undecided, those undecides will break for the challengers, that's what's...
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and i think obama has an edge in the polls in ohio. >> are you seeing any polls in the last 24 hours which suggest that the hurricane as a disaster, has had any impact yet? >> it's too early to say. a number of the more reputable pollsters suspended their polling. right now, i think we shouldn't make too much of noise. a lot of people are out of power, could have helpful effects, you can't reach people in new york city, for example, democrats and they wouldn't appear in the polls as much. >> thank you very much. >> thank you. >>> up next, where the superstorm is heading next. a massive amount of snow in west virginia. a storm chaser joins us with the latest. [ male announcer ] behold the joy, bliss and total delight that can only come from having someone else pay your mortgage for an entire year... this is what you'll experience if you win the quicken loans skip-a-year mortgage sweepstakes. up to five winners will get to skip a year of mortgage payments... courtesy of quicken loans. enter often at skipayear.com for more chances to experience...this... the skip-a-year mortgage sweepst
and i think obama has an edge in the polls in ohio. >> are you seeing any polls in the last 24 hours which suggest that the hurricane as a disaster, has had any impact yet? >> it's too early to say. a number of the more reputable pollsters suspended their polling. right now, i think we shouldn't make too much of noise. a lot of people are out of power, could have helpful effects, you can't reach people in new york city, for example, democrats and they wouldn't appear in the polls as...
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the new franklin-marshall polls showing president obama with a 49% to 45% edge. it's down from last month. there are some areas in pennsylvania that are critical on the east coast, blue collar workers, that the president needs. what do we make of how this might impact voter turnout, voter enthusiasm, and even people's ability to go to the polls? >> well, i think, as you point out, everything right now comes down to voter turnout. in a state where you see the polls close, what we see is each of the campaigns trying to say, you know, the romney campaign saying, oh, we're making up a lot of ground, we're going to run some ads in pennsylvania, and the obama campaign is saying, oh, come on, you're not going to win pennsylvania. there's a lot of head fake going on there because what you want to get your voters out is a sense of momentum. your vote could make the difference, and we've got the mentum so you need to get out there for us, so what each campaign really needs to do is get up that enthusiasm level to get those voters to the polls in every state. not only it is
the new franklin-marshall polls showing president obama with a 49% to 45% edge. it's down from last month. there are some areas in pennsylvania that are critical on the east coast, blue collar workers, that the president needs. what do we make of how this might impact voter turnout, voter enthusiasm, and even people's ability to go to the polls? >> well, i think, as you point out, everything right now comes down to voter turnout. in a state where you see the polls close, what we see is...
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as you know it's a toss-up state with a recent poll showing president obama has an advantage. >>> meantime, vice president biden and mitt romney are in florida. not together, separately. romney's first in tampa, then coral gables and jacksonville. biden will be rallying in sarasota and later in ocala. president obama will stay off the campaign trail for another day. he will, instead, tour storm damage in new jersey. mitt romney is campaigning, but sensitively. it's less than a week before the election. how do candidates balance politics in the face of disaster? during a natural disaster. joining us now is thomas whalen, history professor at boston university, also offering commentary on the current campaign. thank you so much for being with us, thomas. >> my pleasure. >> there is a real danger p in how a president handles a natural disaster because it can sink a presidency, right? >> it could, potentially. what you're really talking about here is the political narrative people have about a particular candidate or president. a natural disaster, at least how presidents respond to them basica
as you know it's a toss-up state with a recent poll showing president obama has an advantage. >>> meantime, vice president biden and mitt romney are in florida. not together, separately. romney's first in tampa, then coral gables and jacksonville. biden will be rallying in sarasota and later in ocala. president obama will stay off the campaign trail for another day. he will, instead, tour storm damage in new jersey. mitt romney is campaigning, but sensitively. it's less than a week...
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that ohio poll, these ohio polls have consistently shown a lead for president obama, anywhere from two to five points. hat does that tell us about what ohio will look like next week? i don't know. but whatever happens there, whatever happens in ohio, will have huge ramifications. we all know ohio is the most important state out of the presidential election turns out. >> it's going to be a very close election by all signs. even though i think president obama has a slight edge, he's slightly ahead as an incumbent you would expect that. but i think it's very important for everybody to go out and vote. >> i'm going to go back to the storm sandy here, and something that's a little controversial that's coming up. and that is global warming. because i'd like both of your perspectives on that. new york governor cuomo suggesting the reason the natural disasters might be the result of climate change. let's listen. >> there has been a series of extreme weather incidents, anyone that's not a political statement, that is a factual statement. anyone who says there's not a dramatic change in weather
that ohio poll, these ohio polls have consistently shown a lead for president obama, anywhere from two to five points. hat does that tell us about what ohio will look like next week? i don't know. but whatever happens there, whatever happens in ohio, will have huge ramifications. we all know ohio is the most important state out of the presidential election turns out. >> it's going to be a very close election by all signs. even though i think president obama has a slight edge, he's...
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you mentioned have obama narrowly up and ohio has always been president obama's firewall. no republican has won the white house without winning ohio. that leaves something sizable good for chicago. there is so much noise around the polls now, the focus is on early voting and the ground game. it is no substitute for actual votes. and that's what folks of both campaigns right now. >> john avalon in the battleground bus tour in ohio. thank you. we'll shift the focus back to the aftermath, the special coverage here in the aftermath of superstorm sandy continues. we're now getting word of some evacuations happening in bellevue hospital. bellevue hospital. we're going to talk to dr. sanjay gupta about this after this quick break. 0 this y. so why exactly should that be of any interest to you? well, in that time there've been some good days. and some difficult ones. but, through it all, we've persevered, supporting some of the biggest ideas in modern history. like the transatlantic cable that connected continents. and the panama canal that made our world a smaller place. we suppo
you mentioned have obama narrowly up and ohio has always been president obama's firewall. no republican has won the white house without winning ohio. that leaves something sizable good for chicago. there is so much noise around the polls now, the focus is on early voting and the ground game. it is no substitute for actual votes. and that's what folks of both campaigns right now. >> john avalon in the battleground bus tour in ohio. thank you. we'll shift the focus back to the aftermath,...
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. >>> president obama heading to new jersey today. brand new polls that john was just mentioning from "the new york times"/cbs quinnipiac polling, virtually tied in florida. look at virginia and in ohio, the president is holding a five-point lead on romney. jen psaki joins us. nice to talk to you. >> good morning, soledad. >> a lot of focus has been taken off the campaign trail as the president focuses on the devastation of superstorm sandy and governor romney, as well, not really campaigning. sort of dealing with the storm aftermath. are you worried when you see some of the those poll numbers, where you see virginia and florida neck and neck? >> the president is out there, doing exactly what the american people elected him to do, which is to manage the country in a state of crisis. for this week, that's hurricane sandy. you've seen him over the past couple of days hunker down in the white house, making calls to mayors and governors, getting briefed by his team. he will be touring the damage with governor christie today. this is a tim
. >>> president obama heading to new jersey today. brand new polls that john was just mentioning from "the new york times"/cbs quinnipiac polling, virtually tied in florida. look at virginia and in ohio, the president is holding a five-point lead on romney. jen psaki joins us. nice to talk to you. >> good morning, soledad. >> a lot of focus has been taken off the campaign trail as the president focuses on the devastation of superstorm sandy and governor romney, as...
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and i think obama has an edge in the polls in ohio. >> are you seeing any polls in the last 24 hours which suggest that the hurricane as a disaster, has had any impact yet? >> it's too early to say. a number of the more reputable pollsters suspended their polling. right now, i think we shouldn't make too much of noise. a lot of people are out of power, could have helpful effects, you can't reach people in new york city, for example, democrats and they wouldn't appear in the polls as much. >> thank you very much. >> thank you. >>> up next, where the superstorm is heading next. a massive amount of snow in west virginia. a storm chaser joins us with the latest. actually, they might not even be that interesting to them. but this is for them and their future. and that's why it's important. okay, i'm going to take that as a "thank you, you rock!" who matters most to you says the most about you. massmutual has helped american businesses offer sound retirement plan solutions for generations. when the doctor told me that i could smoke for the first week... i'm like...yeah, ok... little did i
and i think obama has an edge in the polls in ohio. >> are you seeing any polls in the last 24 hours which suggest that the hurricane as a disaster, has had any impact yet? >> it's too early to say. a number of the more reputable pollsters suspended their polling. right now, i think we shouldn't make too much of noise. a lot of people are out of power, could have helpful effects, you can't reach people in new york city, for example, democrats and they wouldn't appear in the polls as...
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. >> president obama and governor romney faced off. many polls showing them running neck in neck, making the remaining undecided voters more important than ever. >> the undecided voters. the voters in the swing states who could decide this election. >> mitt romney and barack obama yearn for their vote, the elusive mysterious undecided voter. (laughter) >> stephen: yes, they yearn. (cheers and applause) yes. elusive, mysterious undecided voters. i wonder what he's thinking. (laughter) or if. (laughter) folks, folks, here's how it stands. the electoral kitchen is closing in two weeks and they still can't decide if they want the black-and-white cookie or the decaf wheat thin. (laughter) they're elusive! but we know that they're out there! these campaigns have spent billions of dollars trying to capture them with lawn signs, t.v. ads, radio spots, internet banners, robocalls and, for some lucky ohio voters, an amorous david axelrod with a rose in his teeth. (laughter) but a few and the liesing facts about these mysterious creatures have em
. >> president obama and governor romney faced off. many polls showing them running neck in neck, making the remaining undecided voters more important than ever. >> the undecided voters. the voters in the swing states who could decide this election. >> mitt romney and barack obama yearn for their vote, the elusive mysterious undecided voter. (laughter) >> stephen: yes, they yearn. (cheers and applause) yes. elusive, mysterious undecided voters. i wonder what he's...
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what is internal polling showing about how many of those voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think president obama will pull it off, because he has such an excellent ground game, and because of these big city issues that are born to the people of new hampshire. we talk about real depth is a reduction, the specifics of his plan, unlike mitt romney to has yet to answer how he will pay for his plan. the people understand you want someone willing to talk about specifics, someone who has a record of cutting taxes for working-class and middle-class people. someone who has a record for cutting taxes for small businesses. the president has signed 18 tax cuts into law for small business people. i thin
what is internal polling showing about how many of those voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think...
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what is internal polling showing about how many of those voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think president obama will pull it off, because he has such an excellent ground game, and because of these big city issues that are born to the people of new hampshire. we talk about real depth is a reduction, the specifics of his plan, unlike mitt romney to has yet to answer how he will pay for his plan. the people understand you want someone willing to talk about specifics, someone who has a record of cutting taxes for working-class and middle-class people. someone who has a record for cutting taxes for small businesses. the president has signed 18 tax cuts into law for small business people. i thin
what is internal polling showing about how many of those voters president obama could capture? >> i do not want to talk about internal polling, but let me say this, based on what i am seeing, i am very confident the president will have a good night here in new -- here on tuesday. we are working hard to make sure we have every obama supporter out there and out there to vote so we do have a victory. i think it will be closer, closer to the 2004 election when senator kerrey won. i do think...
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polls show the outcome might give obama a boost. the rocky mountain states $3.40 -- 3.4 million voters are evenly split and three-quarters of independence said they supported the gay civil union measure that is on the ballot. >> the civil union issue i think that is back here. i have not seen the civil union issue pop-up into the consciousness of the average voter. i think on the margins it may be a determining factor. i do not necessarily think it will correlate it to a republican or democrat also would bring to the democratic party since they have been a sponsor of this type of legislation. the predominant issue as it is around the country is the economy. jobs and the third national debt but all enveloped under the economy. shows colorado's his changing demographic. are republicans vulnerable when it comes to the latino vote? >> can we do a better job, absolutely. over the next decade we must do a better job if we're going to continue to be a relevant party to the national scene and high -- in the west and able to hold legislature
polls show the outcome might give obama a boost. the rocky mountain states $3.40 -- 3.4 million voters are evenly split and three-quarters of independence said they supported the gay civil union measure that is on the ballot. >> the civil union issue i think that is back here. i have not seen the civil union issue pop-up into the consciousness of the average voter. i think on the margins it may be a determining factor. i do not necessarily think it will correlate it to a republican or...
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after that event, the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. across the board, not as president obama, but senate and house candidates, the numbers dropped in a heart sickening thud for both sides. this is a late moment, game changing moment like that that can have a serious impact. because we had two back-to-back, they sort of even themselves out. mitt romney was at his lowest moment when that videotape now. obama was at his lowest moment after that debate in denver. >> what about the storm? this is the washington times from yesterday. the last week of this presidential campaign, they put sandy as the number one thing to watch. >> there is a big risk when any kind of storm bruce almost anywhere in the country. american history is replete with mayors and governors to handle snowstorms badly and wind up losing elections next year. president george w. bush's approval rating never recovered after his handling of hurricane katrina. this is a big risk for president obama. he had to show that he was a leader, minimize damage, look like he was an in g
after that event, the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. across the board, not as president obama, but senate and house candidates, the numbers dropped in a heart sickening thud for both sides. this is a late moment, game changing moment like that that can have a serious impact. because we had two back-to-back, they sort of even themselves out. mitt romney was at his lowest moment when that videotape now. obama was at his lowest moment after that debate in denver. >> what about...
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and then president obama decided to not through his first debate in denver. and after that event, the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. they saw it across the board. not just with the presidency. but with the house, the senate. this a late moment, some kind of game changing moment like that can have a serious impact still. but since we had two back-to- back, i think even out at the end. but mitt romney was at his lowest moment after the 47% video came out. and obama was at his lowest out to the debate in denver. host: what about the storm. this is the washington times. in game changer. they put sandy as number one. guest: i think of is a good point. i think there is a big risk when any kind of storm bruise. and almost anywhere in the country, american history is complete with mayors and governors who have all snowstorm as badly and ended up losing elections the next year. george w. bush's approval rating never recovered dr. the mishandling of katrina. this is a big risk for obama. his got to show that he was a leader. he has to look like he is engage
and then president obama decided to not through his first debate in denver. and after that event, the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. they saw it across the board. not just with the presidency. but with the house, the senate. this a late moment, some kind of game changing moment like that can have a serious impact still. but since we had two back-to- back, i think even out at the end. but mitt romney was at his lowest moment after the 47% video came out. and obama was at his lowest...
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guest: it would help president obama. i was talking to someone on the issue of colorado amendment 64. it is a republican stronghold but support for legalization down there was high among both democrats and republicans. that is a testament to the libertarian spirit. it's really not the government's business what i do in the privacy of my own home and a lot of them look at the nation's war on drugs, specifically marijuana and things were a lot of money has been wasted on the effort. people were pushing the legalization efforts here equate marijuana and alcohol and the measure calls to regulate marijuana like alcohol. our newspaper has supported legalization. we came out in opposition to amendment 64, the legalization piece this year, because we did not think this was the right vehicle. host: what about third-party candidates in colorado? guest: a lot of us in colorado who have already received their ballots and saw the number of candidates on the balance were surprised. we have 16 here. former new mexico gov. gary johnson r
guest: it would help president obama. i was talking to someone on the issue of colorado amendment 64. it is a republican stronghold but support for legalization down there was high among both democrats and republicans. that is a testament to the libertarian spirit. it's really not the government's business what i do in the privacy of my own home and a lot of them look at the nation's war on drugs, specifically marijuana and things were a lot of money has been wasted on the effort. people were...
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after that event the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. they saw across the board, not just president obama but also senate candidates, house candidates. their numbers dropped, sort of a heart sickening fad for both sides. so a late moment, some kind of game changing moment like that can have a serious impact. still however because we had two of them right back to back, i think this will even out in the end, but romney was at its lowest moment after that 47% videogame out. and obama was at his lowest moment after that debate in denver. >> host: what about the storm? this is the "washington times" from yesterday. game changers, five things to watch in the last week of his presidential campaign, and they put sandy s. number one. >> guest: i think that's a good point. i think there is a big risk when any kind of storm brews, and almost anywhere in the country. american history is replete with mayors and governors who handle snowstorms badly and losing reelection in next year. president george w. bush's approval rating never recovered once he
after that event the democrats saw a similar drop in the polls. they saw across the board, not just president obama but also senate candidates, house candidates. their numbers dropped, sort of a heart sickening fad for both sides. so a late moment, some kind of game changing moment like that can have a serious impact. still however because we had two of them right back to back, i think this will even out in the end, but romney was at its lowest moment after that 47% videogame out. and obama was...
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you know, elections have consequences. 60% of hoosiers polled reject president obama, and mr. donnelly supports him. we have two-thirds of hoosier who say we're on the wrong track. mr. donnelly wants that to continue for another four years. we have overwhelming, overwhelming numbering showing hoosiers disagree with obama care, and even after he said he was not going to support it, he caved in, fell to partisanship, and he did. that's not good. you know, i've been attacked on two fronts. number one, yes, because i stand up for principles. those two, specifically, standing up for the rule of law, oath of office, respect for pensioners, retired teachers, and cops. i stand for the principles. sadly, if mr. donnelly stood for his, we couldn't have obamacare today. it wouldn't be an issue. he says he's dick lugar like. you know, senator lugar and i were rivals, to have the privilege to stands at the pod -- podium, by we stand united here. harry reid can want continue will be the majority leer. still, mr. donnelly still can't say if he will support hymn. if you don't know who you wil
you know, elections have consequences. 60% of hoosiers polled reject president obama, and mr. donnelly supports him. we have two-thirds of hoosier who say we're on the wrong track. mr. donnelly wants that to continue for another four years. we have overwhelming, overwhelming numbering showing hoosiers disagree with obama care, and even after he said he was not going to support it, he caved in, fell to partisanship, and he did. that's not good. you know, i've been attacked on two fronts. number...
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and at least in these polls, obama is ahead, florida, virginia and ohio. and that's is where this thing is tilting, it is just an incredibly difficult map for romney to navigate. >> bill: "wall street journal" i think is one of the most credible polls, and yet your poll showed 47-47 on the national poll. how do you explain that? >> it's not as if the national numbers are going to be wildly different from the states, but there are states that are standing out there in a strange island. there has been one poll in a month and a half that put romney up in ohio and that was a rasmussen poll like two days ago. we have one coming out this sunday which will be the last that we do. he was very big in the south. mitt romney's numbers are really big in texas and other places that don't necessarily matter. obama's numbers are going to be fairly mediocre in blue states so we're seeing a little bit of an imbalance. and then just the difficulty of these states that need to be won desperately by mitt romney. he should own florida right now for his own safety and he is cam
and at least in these polls, obama is ahead, florida, virginia and ohio. and that's is where this thing is tilting, it is just an incredibly difficult map for romney to navigate. >> bill: "wall street journal" i think is one of the most credible polls, and yet your poll showed 47-47 on the national poll. how do you explain that? >> it's not as if the national numbers are going to be wildly different from the states, but there are states that are standing out there in a...
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a poll putting president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at the days that the president has been ahead in the poll, even in the margin of error. >> cenk: so let's get a sense of where they stand. obama is leading 48-45 according to the detroit news. according to epic--is that your poll. >> that's a poll i took earlier today. six-point poll. >> cenk: and not michael's poll. 48-42, six-point lead. when you go to wisconsin 51-43 and 51-43. that's marquette. >> that just came out. that's a poll that a lot of journalists in wisconsin--i just talked to someone in wisconsin lee berquist said we're all waiting for that poll. that poll is definitive. >> cenk: so wisconsi
a poll putting president obama up 50-45 and then public policy polling, 50-45 those are both five-point leads and then the university of cincinnati has obama with a two-point lead. as you look at that, as far as polling goes six days before an election if we weren't worried about being wrong, etc. we'll put that in the books. >> i don't know if we'll put it in the books. ohio is one of these volatile states. you just want know it can change. you don't look at the 5-5-2 today, you look at...
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i want to talk about that for a second because the latest poll from iowa has president obama leading 50% to 46%. that still is within the gravis marketing survey 4-point margin of error. it is a state that the obama war room won four years ago. it needs to keep out of romney's hands to better its odds of winning re-election. for more perspective on the final seven days of the campaign, we're going to turn to one of our favorite political reporters, carla mayor nucci. it was interesting because of course if mitt romney does not win ohio, i mean, he has to win iowa. >> this has been a battleground for how long now? those early voting -- early voting. >> jennifer: it is only six electoral votes. early voting in iowa is largely in the president's favor. >> same thing in colorado. the obama campaign has that ground game down. particularly, i went door-to-door with latino canvas workers. they were just getting it out and working like crazy. i think the obama campaign has got their stuff together there. >> jennifer: so many people have made up their mind and acted upon that early. >> in nev
i want to talk about that for a second because the latest poll from iowa has president obama leading 50% to 46%. that still is within the gravis marketing survey 4-point margin of error. it is a state that the obama war room won four years ago. it needs to keep out of romney's hands to better its odds of winning re-election. for more perspective on the final seven days of the campaign, we're going to turn to one of our favorite political reporters, carla mayor nucci. it was interesting because...
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they did a poll. they all overwhelmingly want obama except for pakistan. [ ♪ dramatic ♪ ] >> why? >> stephanie: i guess because he said we shouldn't move heaven and earth to get one man. obama said if we have actionable intelligence, we'll go in with or without pakistan's permission. mitt romney is like that's rude. >> i hope pakistan isn't voting in this election. >> who knows with karl rove. >> could get them to vote. mail in. mail in voting. >> stephanie: you would think the muslim socialist kenya would be the one -- >> you're right. i'm moving to kenya. >> exactly. >> who do you think you're fooling with this ballot? >> stephanie: really jim? bob in san francisco. hi bob. >> caller: hi. voting for romney because you blame obama for the economy is like gray davis in 1999. blaming enron and what they did to california on recalling him. >> he was the one who tried to prevent that disaster. >> stephanie: schwarzenegger turned out to be so great. [ wah wah ] >> a few things in his nature. what exactly would you do as governor? >> things of that nature. >> those kinds of things. >>
they did a poll. they all overwhelmingly want obama except for pakistan. [ ♪ dramatic ♪ ] >> why? >> stephanie: i guess because he said we shouldn't move heaven and earth to get one man. obama said if we have actionable intelligence, we'll go in with or without pakistan's permission. mitt romney is like that's rude. >> i hope pakistan isn't voting in this election. >> who knows with karl rove. >> could get them to vote. mail in. mail in voting. >>...
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in one way president obama's been -- has been able to, you know, kind of stop whatever poll momentum romney seemed to be getting or at least we were all talking about 50 different polls from ohio. you don't hear about them anymore. since president obama had a lead in most of these swing states, i think political analysts would say it is probably -- doesn't hurt president obama any. on the other side of the net mitt romney has been able to unpack in ohio for a few days, shake a few more hands kiss a few more babies, give a few more press conferences and speeches there. we'll see how it plays out in election night. right now i don't think it's had the impact on this election. it is just -- and votingwise. at least there's no evidence of it yet. we'll see, you know, the stock market opens tomorrow. how will the markets respond to this? you know, you can have a -- the economy rebounding and the president with good p.r., could be a dismal stock market going down and people get jittery and think they want change. but i could tell you this. president obama's done a marvelous job of holding
in one way president obama's been -- has been able to, you know, kind of stop whatever poll momentum romney seemed to be getting or at least we were all talking about 50 different polls from ohio. you don't hear about them anymore. since president obama had a lead in most of these swing states, i think political analysts would say it is probably -- doesn't hurt president obama any. on the other side of the net mitt romney has been able to unpack in ohio for a few days, shake a few more hands...
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obama up by one in florida. two in virginia. five in ohio. >> ooh! >> just in. >> i hope that holds. >> that's candy for everybody. it doesn't mean that we stop working. this is before people get to see his andrew shepherd moment of the last three days. >> stephanie: that's right. he is the president -- so take that. thank you. >> happy halloween. hi elvira. >> hi. that's a great treat. thank you. >> stephanie: make sure you keep your bathrobe closed when you answer the door tonight. >> that's a good point. i'm closing it now. >> stephanie: love you. >> love you guys, bye. >> you gave me a great idea with the romney poo bags i have. i'm going to -- you know, you could go around the neighborhood and if people have the sign in their yard, you could put them -- a burning bag of dog poo on the doormat and ring the bell and then they stomp it out. >> stomp on romney. >> stephanie: we've been doing what most people do on halloween, looking online at people who dress their pets up for halloween. are you pro or -- >> well, you know, there are some pets that
obama up by one in florida. two in virginia. five in ohio. >> ooh! >> just in. >> i hope that holds. >> that's candy for everybody. it doesn't mean that we stop working. this is before people get to see his andrew shepherd moment of the last three days. >> stephanie: that's right. he is the president -- so take that. thank you. >> happy halloween. hi elvira. >> hi. that's a great treat. thank you. >> stephanie: make sure you keep your bathrobe...
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lou: real clear politics does something interesting, compare, poll, polls for today, that poll to 2004, 2008, 2008, at this juncture, president then senator obama was running six and a half points ahead of senator mccain, in 2004, bush had a one and a half point lead on senator kerry, is that instructive or just sort of an amusing glimpse at history. >> political junkies, heard those were margins of 2004, and 8 for those who like to say national polling does not amount to much this is accurate. it is the state by state polls, that is less productive. but i make a basic point about the storm, i know a lot of democrats, if you go to liberal blogs, they are all holding hands, say it will be okay, they are trying to make a political point to of the way that president is responding to the hurricane. the average american, looks at what happened on east coast, they see a human tragedy, they do not see a political proving ground, all these dc pundits who are trying to make a political moment out of obama in new jersey or obama reaction, they are so disconnected from the way that american peopl
lou: real clear politics does something interesting, compare, poll, polls for today, that poll to 2004, 2008, 2008, at this juncture, president then senator obama was running six and a half points ahead of senator mccain, in 2004, bush had a one and a half point lead on senator kerry, is that instructive or just sort of an amusing glimpse at history. >> political junkies, heard those were margins of 2004, and 8 for those who like to say national polling does not amount to much this is...
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obama at 46% shows he is slipping into underdog status as we speak. gerri: the me show you another, as long as you're talking polls, we have one, the national average. and obama is at 47%. i did he'd. gretchen, you know, here is what i don't understand. i thought that people made up their mind as the campaign progressed, but it seems that most people, like you, who are expert watchers of this campaign say lots of people change their mind right up to voting day. >> to we had seen that in the past. we have had some people who did not even make up their minds until election day. i think this election, you have seen a lot of people make up their minds early this election will come down to the few people who make up their minds over the course of the past weekend coming into the next few days. president obama has done with this hurricane is acted presidential, taking care of business. people don't look at one event but past history and the past four years. he has not always displayed that same type. he is not even saving as from the fiscal cliff reroute th
obama at 46% shows he is slipping into underdog status as we speak. gerri: the me show you another, as long as you're talking polls, we have one, the national average. and obama is at 47%. i did he'd. gretchen, you know, here is what i don't understand. i thought that people made up their mind as the campaign progressed, but it seems that most people, like you, who are expert watchers of this campaign say lots of people change their mind right up to voting day. >> to we had seen that in...
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the reason is, the president has been on hand down a slide in the polls. what he has lacked is and the visuals in the mainstream media have been very good. his rhetoric has been more inclusive today. so it could help him. but it is right, we won't know until the weekend. lou: inclusive. i saw a giant bear hug. governor christie. and president obama,a, i mean, they are in a love fest here. what is that all about? >> two things. the president needs to get back to bipartisanship. with governor christine not selected for vice-president in add tight race, he needs democrats. lou: and so that is the deal. >> absolutely. i think it really, really helps obama. sandy must be a democrat, is all i can hink. you know, that call attention to the rule, just crucial role of the federal government, fema at this time. lou: what have they done? >> it's what they're going to do. what they're already doing. lou: let me ask you this. and i have heard this. governments are great, but all the responding agencies are either state or local. they are the ones to decide how much san
the reason is, the president has been on hand down a slide in the polls. what he has lacked is and the visuals in the mainstream media have been very good. his rhetoric has been more inclusive today. so it could help him. but it is right, we won't know until the weekend. lou: inclusive. i saw a giant bear hug. governor christie. and president obama,a, i mean, they are in a love fest here. what is that all about? >> two things. the president needs to get back to bipartisanship. with...
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chris christie be just the ticket to boost president obama in the polls, we will ask lou dobbs. ashley: let's get to nicole petallides on the floor of the nyse. she is back in action. nicole: we are back in action. the boards of the nyse open and most folks made it here in some form. a smooth opening, some down arrows across the board for the most part but after two days of no trading we are back in action. most of the dow components have down arrows and focus duncan neiderauer, the ceo of the stock exchange, i asked him if they could open monday or tuesday and fear is what he had to say. >> we certainly could have operated electronically. what the industry told us sunday was please don't open electronically because we have to put a lot of our people in harm's way so let's not do that. i wish the industry and we came to decision sunday, we all made the right decision. it would have been irresponsible and dangerous to be open monday and tuesday. nicole: we will follow opening the reopening of the stock exchange. that headline on night capital as well. i wanted to clarify as we ge
chris christie be just the ticket to boost president obama in the polls, we will ask lou dobbs. ashley: let's get to nicole petallides on the floor of the nyse. she is back in action. nicole: we are back in action. the boards of the nyse open and most folks made it here in some form. a smooth opening, some down arrows across the board for the most part but after two days of no trading we are back in action. most of the dow components have down arrows and focus duncan neiderauer, the ceo of the...
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the latest rasmussen presidential poll shows romney has 49% and president obama 47%. governor romney is now making a last-ditch effort for votes in some traditionally new-leaning states, minnesota, michigan and pennsylvania. could this be mitt romney's last push to win on tuesday? joining us now is representative marsha blackburn. congresswoman blackburn, some curious things going on over the last 24 hours. you see where obama camp poured money into michigan. you see where romney is headed, pennsylvania. i thought these states were settled. are they still up for grabs? >> yes, they are definitely up for grabs. charles what is happening is these were supposed to be safe seats and safe states for obama, but what has happened is people have watched mitt romney, and they see a consistency of leadership and a very steady approach. they are -- those undecideds are are breaking for mitt romney. so all of a sudden, michigan, pennsylvania, iowa, minnesota, you're looking at states that i think you are going to see mitt romney with a great opportunity to win these states. charl
the latest rasmussen presidential poll shows romney has 49% and president obama 47%. governor romney is now making a last-ditch effort for votes in some traditionally new-leaning states, minnesota, michigan and pennsylvania. could this be mitt romney's last push to win on tuesday? joining us now is representative marsha blackburn. congresswoman blackburn, some curious things going on over the last 24 hours. you see where obama camp poured money into michigan. you see where romney is headed,...
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was gaining momentum but it stopped poll clamor and all talk. i think that helped president. on the other hand, mitt romney had more on the ground time in ohio, the crucial state and has been able to shake more hands and meet more voters directly in the buckeye state. neil: you mentioned this appearance tomorrow with governor chris christie. i'm sure not governor's intention to praise the president to point that many say he hurt the republican nominee mitt romney. but governor kristy looking out for -- chris christie said he is looking out for the folks in his state. commending speediness of support for new jersey. you have that image of them, touring a lot of the areas, atlantic city, maybe, some of the really hard hit areas, that will be an indelible image. >> there is nothing you can do about it, governor chris christie has done the right thing, and barack obama is president, you do not' to overdue the praise. but, i mean, you are right, a photo of barack obama with governor chris christie goes a long way. he is liked by a lot of independents
was gaining momentum but it stopped poll clamor and all talk. i think that helped president. on the other hand, mitt romney had more on the ground time in ohio, the crucial state and has been able to shake more hands and meet more voters directly in the buckeye state. neil: you mentioned this appearance tomorrow with governor chris christie. i'm sure not governor's intention to praise the president to point that many say he hurt the republican nominee mitt romney. but governor kristy looking...
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did printout what you said last week in case i needed it. i'll see after election day how close you are. in terms of the storm does that do anything, i think steve hays refered to something like statture gap that he was losing his statture gap. now, this will make him appear more presidential and the opportunity. i don't mean to demean the president or the storm or light of the loss but just the hard reality is that election day is tuesday. >> i think the storm is so big, damage so wide spread and intense, that you know, president is going to, he's hopefully doing his job, what he shoul
you get the last poll. and the last poll for obama is between 44 and 47 or 48%. so this would imply you're seeing carvel rule coming into affect. i decided last week that i said it's probably going to be a six point vote or more in favor of romney. probably above 300 elector yil votes. this number tonight would fit that kind of a sweep because i think republicans will vote more on election day that. begins to tell me could be 54, 46 maybe by the time you get to election day. >> we did...
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and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in cuyahoga county, between 2004 and 2008 which was a big year for barack obama, cuyahoga county casted less ballots in the election in 2008 than 2004. the relative strength of cuyahoga has dropped to 11% north 13%. >> bill: that's very favorable to barack obama. that's the cleveland area. so, if they are weighting that in a heavy way. >> at 13% instead of 11%. >> bill: it's reality that the vote is dropping there. it's going to be better for romney. >> true. >> bill: do you trust rasmussen, larry? you are pretty outspoken about these polls. remember, scott was on i
and i looked at the two polls that had obama plus 4. i don't think obama plus four is the right number in ohio and here is why. >> bill: what was your number by the way? >> we had it tied. 47, 47. suffolk listed all the candidates on the ballots. a couple of things of on those polls that i noticed. number one cuyahoga county was weighted at 13%. the truth about cuyahoga county from 2004 to 2008 the total votes cast in ohio went up 100,000 if you add up all the candidates but in...
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if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ah
if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a...
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if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a margin of error, dana. hold on. dana was around in '08, i'm sorry, back in '04 when the poll said that kerry was going to win in a landslide. didn't happen, did it? >> thank goodness. >> that's right, dana. just think for a second. romney has never been ahead. >> sean: he's ahead now. >> in the real clear politics. >> sean: juan, juan, juan. >> colorado, wisconsin. i can keep going. never, ever. >> sean: listen, you can be as delusional if you want. i absolutely like when you live in denial, but here's the reality, dana. romney has florida sewn up, in my opinion. >> oh, my god, come on. >> sean: in virginia the latest poll shows romney ah
if i'm barack obama, there's no poll now moving in his direction, juan, and states that he won by huge margins, he's either tied or just slightly ahead. that's a problem for him. >> well, look. i don't think anyone debates the idea it's going to be a very close race, but the numbers you put out. >> sean: which ones? >> they're all sided. >> ask juan about the npr poll. >> go ahead, dana. >> let's talk about the npr poll. an 8-point swing? >> there's a...
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that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one. obama-biden went up by 7. romney-ryan went up by one. if you look to the other unsure, 25% in early october. now down to 16%. >> bret: put number two up if you can again. >> so things breaking there more for the incumbent than the challenger. overall, what charles is saying is right. generally things break for the channeler. the income intent a known quantity. but not that it completely breaks for the incumbent. so many battleground obama maintains small lead, but maintaining it. but the fear is that romney momentum would carry him to lead in those states. >> bret: steve? >> the ultimate cliche
that is a weakness for president obama. the position poll the race is even. what it tells me is that romney who had momentum for several weeks his momentum has stopped. the independent voter was romney-ryan had a slightly bigger lead than they do now. the number of people unsure from 29% now down to 16%. most broke for president obam obama. >> bret: early october it was 44-32. you're saying that the obama number goes up. >> yes. >> bret: so does romney-ryan. >> by one....
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well, a new rasmussen poll of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about obama's record for debt and deficits, health care, energy, any day we're talking about something else, that's good for obama, and so i will be surprised if he doesn't make a little bit of a comeback here. he's had a prett pretty solid mt for a month. there wasn't anything happen to stop the movement by romney. what may stop it is this storm and not so much that the president will do a great job, although i don't have any doubt that he will. mostly what happens right after a terrible storm is we know where i come from, it's the local first responders. it's the firemen, the policeman, the highway patrolmen, the nati
well, a new rasmussen poll of likely voters showing governor romney leading president obama 49% to 47%. now, that is westboun within thn of error. former mississippi governor haley bar bore join barber join. good evening. > >> greta: have you had any further thoughts about the race? >> for my thinking, the biggest change in the race is to obama's favor and that's been this storm, you know. any day that we're not talking about the economy and jobs, that we're not talking about...